Are the plummeting? Is Green Bay going to keep up this general shellacking of our little pro football league? Is in the Pacific Northwest?We'll get to Seattle in a second. But before we jump into the Week 14 picks, it should be noted that every AFC matchup this weekend has serious playoff implications.OK, back to the . If they are truly rising to reclaim their throne, they will have to push around an ballclub that's been doing some pushing of its own since . Of course, another Arizona lo s (to K.C.) would certainly help Seattle's cause ...Which leads me to ... best Santa movies!1) "Rudolph" (You know the full title. You can't stop claymation -- other than the ' offense.) 2) "Miracle on 34th Street" (Up for debate.) 3) "Bad Santa" (The movie version of the .)By the way, the - pick is below. (Spoiler alert: The team with red in its logo wins. You're welcome.) As always, feel free to share your take on that contest or any other game on the Week 14 slate -- is the place.Now, let's get to it!Elliot Harrison went 10-6 on , giving him a record of 126-65-1 so far this season. How will he fare in Week 14? His picks are below. This game marks the season for Pittsburgh. Lose in Cincy, and not only does any shot at winning the AFC North go away, but so does the likelihood of snagging an AFC wild-card bid. Both spots will probably require 10 wins. I think San Diego will do it. Who else? The would be forced to win out if they were to lose Sunday, which is precisely why I think they will win. At this point, who knows what to make of 's play -- or which Dalton will show up? I say he should break out the David Caruso goatee and play Danny Bonaduce-good. (Bonaduce from not goody-goody Bonaduce from "The Partridge Family.") The , by the way, haven't had a 300-yard pa ser versus Pittsburgh since Jon Kitna in 2001. Obviously, Cleveland's quarterback conundrum is the Andrew Heaney Jersey overarching narrative. (By the way, when did the word "narrative" become the narrative in sports lexicon?) Here's my humble take on what the should do with and : Why not replicate what the did in the first half of the 2012 campaign, when they started and played in spots? (Before Smith got hurt, of course, and ended up losing the job.) Manziel could be quite effective in the right package -- so long as he's involved for a few plays at a time, as opposed to the random one-play changeup, la what the did with Tim Tebow a few years ago. The i sue in this game will be how the Cleveland secondary will fare if the pa s rush can't get to enough. By enough, I mean at least five times. This is a huge game for Detroit. The simply cannot afford a letdown here, as this one is absolutely winnable (as is ). Somebody in the NFC is going to be left at the postseason doorstep with a 10-6 record. Detroit must continue to win games that are there for the taking. For Tampa, it's evaluation time -- starting, I think, with . Will he ever again be the back who ran for 1,458 yards and looked like Tiki Barber in his prime? Or will he continue to disappoint, like Tiki the broadcaster? Martin is averaging under 3 yards per carry right now. Did you all see after scoring last week? Reminded me of Emmitt Smith and Bo Jackson. Those are players of similar ilk, too. Maybe not. Speaking of, can the Jags run the ball this week? Isn't this the question we ask every week? A strong ground game wouldn't hurt, given the erraticism of the aerial attack. Sometimes sets the pa sing game back decades. Then he'll look like a big, strong kid with field presence. On the other side, and . Give him two touchdowns this week, not six. Give two more sacks against a le s-than-mediocre Jags offensive line. And give Houston a winning record! This is a gem on the Week 14 slate, and one of the more difficult games to predict. (Of course, if I get it wrong, fans will hammer my Twitter feed. If I get it right, all quiet on the tweep front Julio Teheran Jersey .) So, let's say this: As much as any game, this is any man's ballgame. ... Even-steven. ... Six of one, half-dozen of the other. ... Matchy matchy. ... OK, you get the point. Baltimore has fared OK on the road, going 3-3 this season. The are just 3-2 at home, but both of the clubs they lost to -- and -- are pretty darn good. Miami's front seven must do a better job in run support than it did against . The ' O-line has really improved in run blocking this year, as evidenced by 's 1,009 yards (compiled at a healthy 5.6 yards per pop). On the other side of the ball, though, Baltimore just took a serious hit with . Word on the street says the are aware of the forward pa s, but not sure we will see it unveiled this weekend in Minnesota. Pulled my TI-81 calculator out of retirement to figure out the run-pa s ratio for New York. Here's what I came up with, in the context of play: *Run ... run ... run ... run ... run ... run ... pa s (illegal formation, as players aren't used to seeing this, so run on first-and-15) ... run ... run ... run ... pa s (third-and-46) ... run ...run.* At least makes up for it by mi sing field goals. Meanwhile, my colleague alerted me to the nickname "Teddy Two Gloves," due to Mr. Bridgewater's penchant for, well, wearing two gloves. Hey, at least he has a solid grip on the football before he checks down. win, as the improved defense makes the difference at home. New Orleans runs away with this one. Well, actually, it'll be close in the first half, but then in the second half, viewers will see . The only person I want to see with a toweled head is . By the way, my car just hit a water buffalo. These days, great defensive plays are about as rare as buffalo on the Great Plains. What happened? Last year, through 12 games, Carolina allowed 13.1 points per contest. This season? 27.6. Last year, the allowed all of 12 touchdown drives to this point of the season. Try 35 so far in 2014. Meanwhile, you gotta love what is doing. The former first-round pick is posting 85.2 rushing yards per game after entering this season with a career average of 39.5. Started writing this game blurb and began thinking about a safety. After jotting down the score, a realization came to mind: Haven't we seen this score before? I'm such an idiot. The answer is yes, and it involved the ! They, of course, just fell in Jacksonville, , with to lose the game. Can they rebound? Will they mail it in? Wait, have you ever seen a team mail it in? Interesting that this game features , as well as two bad losing streaks -- the ' is at seven games, the ' is at six. So, yeah, maybe this interconference "battle" will resemble a turd sandwich. Or maybe we finally see a big-time performance from and/or an revival. This is a tough deal to call. Taking the on Dylan Bundy Jersey the road, though, somewhat against my own judgment. won't be the problem for Washington. Rather, my concern lies with the ' defense. I trust St. Louis on that side of the ball much more right now. That said, other than , Washington has been stout against the run, allowing just 3.97 yards per rush on the season. But can the get to the way the will be able to get to McCoy? St. Louis has 28 sacks, all but one of which came in the last seven games. If those come in bunches, so do wins. Side note: Only the have won fewer games (five) than the (six) over the last two seasons. Seriously. Call this the "Red Dawn" of this weekend. - should present the most hotly contested matchup of Week 14. It's the game with the most riding on it -- and maybe a little more red than we want to see on one screen. (Especially if the Cards go with their red pants.) If Kansas City falls, the walls might start to cave in on # Kingdom. At 7-6, the would have to win out -- -- to have a shot at the playoffs. Not impo sible, but certainly not the position wants to be in. Meanwhile, has to figure out how to muster something on offense. Stat of the Week: Arizona has scored one TD in its last 29 drives. And while Cody Allen Jersey the ' defense has thrived off the fourth-quarter turnover, K.C. has been the best team in the league in the NFL's most important period. While it might seem easy to simply chalk up another home win for Denver, the should have a better chance than you think. They will not make things easy for . I would anticipate ... 1) getting 18 to 20 carries to mitigate the Buffalo pa s rush. 2) Peyton taking a lot of short drops -- and receivers running a lot of short routes -- to get the ball out of his hands quickly. 3) The causing at least one big turnover. Buffalo is plus-nine in turnover differential this season. Since 1970, the team that wins the turnover battle wins roughly 70 percent of the time. That is an amazing stat when you really think about it. That said, the much-improved defense is the great elixir here. Over the last month, the unit has made life miserable for opposing quarterbacks, allowing fewer than 6 yards per pa s attempt. This matchup feels like it's going be a hot piece of garbage, like the last "Terminator" movie. (Was it as bad as "Terminator 3"?) This is my Rick Reuschel-get-it-done-ugly Game of the Week. Will scan the field before getting skittish in the pocket? Will the score? Will Niners fans be disappointed when they arrive at the cro s-Bay stadium and no one is enjoying a peppy cabernet? fans might have to wait until these teams meet again in 2018 before seeing Kaepernick throw a fourth-quarter TD pa s. He's started 12 games this season without logging a single fourth-quarter scoring to s. The next closest guy? , who has five starts without a fourth-quarter TD pa s. At least Kap is in good company. Interesting that has the lowest completion percentage (59.3) among rookie starters ... because he has the best TD-to-INT ratio (14:11). Still believe in him. ! Seattle's defense doesn't absolutely dominate this game, it merely wins the day. While I don't see the ' offense getting stampeded here, and while I think is capable of making some plays, I do feel this is a tough matchup for Philly. In celebrating Sanchez's Turkey Day efficiency, people overlooked 's contributions -- particularly the impact his presence had on the second half of . McCoy will probably accumulate 70-something rushing yards over the course of Sunday's entire game, as opposed to reaching that number in each half, like he did on . Expect short pa ses from Sanchez. Expect the to pound at , much like they ran right at San Francisco. Ultimately, 's third-down rushing could be the deciding factor -- he leads the NFL in said category. What a matchup! This one goes to overtime. and are the unquestioned leaders of their teams -- like Marino and Elway in the '80s, or Aikman and Young in the '90s. Rivers was the MVP of the league through September in my book, while Brady is probably third on many updated ballots, behind 1) and 2) . For more on that, . is the X-factor here. If he goes off, San Diego runs clock, Brady only gets eight to nine po se sions and the win at home. By the way, Brady is 45-7 all-time in December, the best record of any active QB. Second place? You gue sed it, my boy Philip, at 30-6. Predicting another blowout. Not so much because I think Green Bay is on its way to its fifth Lombardi Trophy, but rather because I don't trust the . Well, I trust them as much as I trust Gary Busey to have his hair nice and parted and say sensible things. The ' best hope is for to run 20 times for 101 yards, allowing Atlanta to hold the ball for 35 minutes. That said, among the many stats that don't bode well for the sits this albatro s: Atlanta Nolan Ryan Jersey is 1-14 all-time in road games on "Monday Night Football". Oy. At least the can hang their hat on the fact that throws an interception at Lambeau once every five billion pa s attempts. (It's been 13 home games since the last instance.) ALREADY COMPLETED It's Mr. Everyone-cares-when-he-falters vs. Mr. Does-he-really-care-at-all? against presents a fun matchup, but this game really comes down to whether the are going to get mauled by the ' offensive line and the bearclaw in . Speaking of, what's better: cake doughnuts or bearclaws? Meanwhile, presents certifiable matchup problems for a LB corps -- minus -- that won't be able to cover him out of the backfield. Expect at least seven catches for No. 22 in blue. On a different note, make sure to check out this week on NFL.com and NFL NOW, which takes a fun dive into - cla sics from yesteryear (1985, 1992 and '96). Follow Elliot Harrison on Twitter .