A far better record suggests tougher opponents in both conference and cross-conference play. It also indicates a later draft selection. That's all before you make up the fact that assistant trains and free-agent players could be miscalculated in the offseason as a result of the team's success, leading to 's take a look at the record of teams that have actually won an uncommon amount of close games in a single Records From 2006 to 2021, 34 groups won five more single-score 7 points or less) games than they shed throughout a single season. On average, those teams shed 3. 4 more games the list below period. Some severe instances of collapses include the 2012 Houston Texans, the 2012 Atlanta Falcons and the 2015 Carolina Panthers-- that incorporated for a 40-8 record in their "filled with air record" periods and videotaped a mixed 12 wins the following the 34 study below, 28 had a worse document the following period, two held their mark and 4 in some way took care of to boost. To claim the least, the probabilities are stacked against the Minnesota Vikings-- that went 13-4 last period while winning all 9 of their single-score video games-- to repeat their 2022 success. As a matter of fact, the Vikings' 9-0 record in single-score games is one of the most inflated mark in the history of the NFL, per Pro Football Reference's search device 's interesting concerning this sensation is that the inverse is also true of single-score video games: Groups that shed an unusual amount of close video games in one season are nearly assured to have a far better record the adhering to Records From 2006 to 2021, 28 teams took care of to lose 5 even more single-score video games than they won in a solitary period. 25 of those teams won a lot more video games the following year, one held consistent and just the 2019 Dallas Cowboys and 2018 Carolina Panthers really published a worse document the following period. The reverse of the 2022-2023 Minnesota Vikings in this pattern are the Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders, that incorporated for a 9-24 document in single-score games in 2022. Wherefore it deserves, the typical number of success obtained the following season for this subset of teams is 3. 6 wins, near the inverse of the 3. 4-win decrease that the "inflated document" teams have tape-recorded in over a decade-and-a-half. The Minnesota Vikings' projected decrease is so visible that it's currently been baked into the gaming lines for the upcoming period. According to DraftKings, the Vikings have +250 chances to win the NFC North, which lugs an implied probability of 28. 6 percent including the vig the publication's cut. ) Based on guide's numbers, the only division that is extra wide-open than the NFC North this season is the AFC paper, the Vikings returning a lot of their ability from a 13-4 group should stress the rest of the department, but the reality is that their document is something of a paper tiger because of the number of breaks that went their method close games. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers played their finest sphere in the 2nd half of the 2022 season-- causing a Week 18 Sunday Night Football matchup between the two with the Packers' playoff really hopes on the line-- and the Chicago Bears are positioned to make a substantial jump, as long as quarterback Justin Fields takes the following action is a "restoring" period for the Packers, yet the NFC North is still a winnable department. At least, the numbers would certainly suggest that the Vikings schedule for a wake-up telephone call in 2023 Falcons Store. Take A Look At DraftKings Sportsbook, the main sportsbook companion of SB Country.

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